October 7th & The Antisemitism Surge

Overview

The Hamas attack on Israel on October 7, 2023, and Israel's subsequent military campaign in Gaza have been followed by a documented surge in antisemitic incidents worldwide. The Pax Judaica framework interprets this not as an unintended consequence but as a deliberate strategy: antisemitism is promoted to force Jewish emigration to Israel, fulfilling the prophecy of diaspora return.

This article examines the events, the documented antisemitism increase, the framework's interpretation, and critical analysis.

The Antisemitism Surge

Documented Increase

Multiple monitoring organizations reported significant increases:6

Types of Incidents

Documented incident categories include:6

• Physical assaults on visibly Jewish individuals
• Vandalism of synagogues and Jewish businesses
• Harassment at universities
• Online threats and hate speech
• Protests at Jewish institutions
• Social media targeting

High-Profile Events

The Framework's Interpretation

Professor Jiang's Claims

"Also, the last thing is anti-Semitism, okay? So you may have noticed if you're online, people don't like the Jews. And this is like out of nowhere. After October 7th, you have anti-Semitism over the internet."

"Why would people not care about the difference between anti-Zionism and anti-Semitism? And you can argue it's all purposeful because remember part of the plan is to force the Jews to return to Israel. That's very important for this plan to work out."

The Alleged Strategy

According to the framework:

Promote Jewish prosperity in the diaspora

Simultaneously promote antisemitism ("the Jews control everything")

Create hostile environment for Jews outside Israel

Force Jewish emigration (aliyah) to Israel

Fulfill prophecy of diaspora return

Build Pax Judaica with Jewish population concentrated in Israel

The "Deliberate" Claim

"You can argue it's all purposeful... it's all part of the plan, guys."

The framework suggests antisemitism is deliberately cultivated, not organic.

The Anti-Zionism vs. Antisemitism Question

Definitions

The Conflation Problem

Professor Jiang notes:

"Anti-Zionism is not the same as anti-Semitism, right? Zionism is the belief that Israel is a chosen people and the promised land and all that. But Judaism as a religion, it's perfectly fine."

How They Get Conflated

From the pro-Israel side:15

• Criticism of Israel called antisemitic to delegitimize it
• IHRA definition controversially includes some Israel criticism

From the anti-Israel side:

• Jews blamed for Israel's actions
• "Zionist" used as slur for any Jew
• Conspiracy theories about Jewish control

Both conflations are problematic.

Critical Analysis

What's Documented

What's Speculative

Alternative Explanations for Antisemitism Surge

Without conspiracy:16

Conflict-driven: Wars involving Israel historically correlate with antisemitism

Social media amplification: Algorithms promote outrage

Conflation by all sides: Genuine confusion between Jews and Israel

Pre-existing antisemitism: Activated by events

Protest dynamics: Extreme elements join larger movements

Reciprocal radicalization: Both sides escalate

These don't require deliberate promotion.

The "Forced Aliyah" Claim

Historical Precedents

Jews have emigrated to Israel due to antisemitism:17

Antisemitism does drive emigration—this is documented.

Does This Prove the Framework?

The framework's logic:

Antisemitism drives aliyah

Aliyah is part of the "plan"

Therefore, antisemitism is deliberately created

The logical problem:18

• That antisemitism has an effect doesn't prove it's orchestrated
• Many phenomena have effects without being designed for those effects
• Correlation ≠ causation

Current Aliyah Data

Post-October 7 emigration patterns:19

• Some increase in inquiries from France, US
• But also some Israelis considering leaving
• Mixed picture, not mass exodus

The "Gas the Jews" Question

The Bondi Beach Reference

Professor Jiang mentions:

"This is Bondi Beach in Sydney, Australia, where you have... two Islamic State supporters killed fifteen Jews celebrating a Jewish festival."

Note: This appears to be a misremembering or conflation of events. The documented Bondi Beach incident involved a mass stabbing in April 2024 (not specifically targeting Jews), and separate pro-Palestinian protests.11

Verification Matters

This illustrates the importance of fact-checking specific claims in the framework.

Who Benefits from Antisemitism?

The Framework's Answer

Israel/Zionists—because it drives aliyah and justifies Israeli actions.

Alternative Beneficiaries

Who Loses

The cost-benefit analysis doesn't clearly favor any single conspiracy.

The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy Problem

How It Works

Framework predicts antisemitism will increase

Antisemitism increases (for various reasons)

Framework claims vindication

But: the prediction would be fulfilled regardless of cause

What Would Falsify the Claim?

• If antisemitism didn't increase after major Israel-Palestine conflict?
• But antisemitism has historically increased during such conflicts21
• So the prediction is too easy to make

Discussion Questions

How do we distinguish organic antisemitism from allegedly orchestrated antisemitism?

Can effects (aliyah) prove intent (deliberate antisemitism promotion)?

How should we evaluate claims when prediction is easy but causation is hard to prove?

What's the relationship between Israel's actions and diaspora Jewish safety?

Further Reading

• European Immigration Crisis
• The Greater Israel Project
• Critiques: Antisemitism Concerns
• The Three Stages Model

This article examines the post-October 7 antisemitism surge within the Pax Judaica framework. The increase in antisemitic incidents is documented; the claim that it's deliberately orchestrated to force aliyah is speculative.