The Sykes-Picot Agreement: Carving Up the Middle East

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Overview

The Sykes-Picot Agreement was a secret 1916 treaty between Britain and France (with Russian assent) to divide Ottoman territories in the Middle East after World War I. Within the Pax Judaica framework, Sykes-Picot represents:

  • Historically: Colonial partition creating modern Middle East borders
  • Conspiratorially: Deliberate fragmentation to prevent Arab unity and enable control
  • Geopolitically: Imperial "divide and rule" strategy with lasting consequences
  • Eschatologically: Stage-setting for Pax Judaica by weakening Islamic civilization

The Agreement (Primary Source)

Key Provisions

Signed: May 16, 19161

Primary negotiators:

  • Sir Mark Sykes (Britain) - Conservative MP, Middle East traveler
  • François Georges-Picot (France) - Diplomat, former consul in Beirut
  • Sergei Sazonov (Russia) - Foreign Minister (Russian interests)

The Partition Plan

Territorial divisions (documented):2

ZoneControlTerritoryPurpose

Blue ZoneDirect French controlCoastal Syria, Lebanon, CiliciaMediterranean access
A ZoneFrench influenceInterior Syria, MosulBuffer, resources
Red ZoneDirect British controlMesopotamia (Baghdad, Basra)Oil, route to India
B ZoneBritish influenceJordan, Palestine interiorBuffer, security
Brown ZoneInternationalPalestine (Haifa to Jerusalem)Competing claims
Russian claimRussian EmpireIstanbul, Turkish Straits, ArmeniaAccess to Mediterranean

Map: The famous colored-zone map defined spheres, not final borders.3

The Secret Exposed

How it became public: Bolsheviks published secret treaties after 1917 Revolution to embarrass Allies.4

Published: Izvestia and Pravda, November 23-28, 19174

Global reaction: Outrage, especially among Arabs promised independence by Britain simultaneously.5

The Conspiracy Perspective

Deliberate Fragmentation Thesis

The argument: Sykes-Picot wasn't pragmatic wartime diplomacy but calculated strategy to permanently fragment Arab/Islamic world.11

Strategic objectives cited:

  • Prevent Arab unity: Divide into weak states unable to resist
  • Ethnic/sectarian divisions: Draw borders to maximize internal conflict
  • Resource control: Separate oil fields from population centers
  • Client states: Create dependencies on European powers
  • Israel preparation: Weaken surrounding Arab states for future Jewish state
  • The "Artificial States" Problem

    Borders ignored:12

    • Tribal affiliations
    • Ethnic distributions (Kurds, Armenians)
    • Sectarian divides (Sunni, Shia, Christian)
    • Geographic logic
    • Historical boundaries

    States created (1920s):13

    StateCompositionProblem

    IraqSunni, Shia, KurdsThree groups with no unity history
    SyriaSunni, Alawite, Christian, Druze, KurdsCompeting identities
    LebanonMaronite, Sunni, Shia, DruzeDelicate sectarian balance
    JordanPalestinian majority, Hashemite rulersIdentity conflict

    Consequence: Century of instability.14

    The Oil Dimension

    Mesopotamian oil (documented):15

    Major fields:

    • Mosul (northern Iraq) - Switched to British zone despite French claim
    • Kirkuk (Kurdish region) - Became part of Iraq
    • Basra (southern Iraq) - British control from start

    The Mosul controversy:16

    • Originally designated for French zone (A)
    • 1918: British occupied Mosul after armistice
    • 1920: Mosul reassigned to British Iraq
    • France compensated with 25% of oil company shares

    Cui bono?: British petroleum interests (later BP).17

    The Rothschild-Freemasonry Connection

    Documented facts:

    • Sykes was documented Freemason18
    • Negotiations coincided with Zionist lobbying
    • Palestine "internationalization" clause ambiguous1
    • 1917 Balfour Declaration superseded Sykes-Picot for Palestine10

    Speculative claim: Sykes-Picot designed to fragment Arabs while preserving Palestine for Zionist project; all coordinated by secret societies.

    Counter-evidence: French genuinely wanted Syria including Palestine; Britain maneuvered them out via Balfour Declaration; no evidence of Masonic coordination.19

    Implementation and Outcomes

    The Paris Peace Conference (1919)

    The reality: Sykes-Picot served as basis but was modified.20

    Key changes:

    • Russia excluded (Bolshevik Revolution)
    • American influence (Wilson's 14 Points opposed secret treaties)21
    • Mandates system instead of direct annexation22
    • Arab resistance forced adjustments

    The Mandate System

    League of Nations mandates (1920):23

    MandateColonial PowerTerritoryDuration

    French Mandate for Syria and LebanonFranceModern Syria + Lebanon1923-1946
    British Mandate for MesopotamiaBritainModern Iraq1920-1932
    British Mandate for PalestineBritainIsrael + Palestine + Jordan1920-1948

    Legal fiction: Mandates were supposed to be temporary "tutelage" toward independence, not colonies.24

    Reality: Colonial control with League of Nations approval.24

    The Arab Revolt's Betrayal

    T.E. Lawrence (Lawrence of Arabia):25

    • British officer liaising with Arab Revolt (1916-1918)
    • Promised Arabs independence repeatedly
    • Discovered Sykes-Picot mid-war
    • Felt complicit in betrayal
    • Advocated for Arabs at Paris Peace Conference (failed)

    Faisal and Hussein:26

    • Sharif Hussein of Mecca led revolt
    • Son Faisal represented Arabs at Paris
    • Rejected mandate system
    • Faisal briefly king of Syria (1920) - French expelled him
    • British compensated by making Faisal king of Iraq (1921)
    • Another son, Abdullah, made king of Transjordan (1921)

    Pax Judaica Framework Interpretation

    Stage I: Pax Britannica Strategy

    The framework:

    Objectives attributed to Pax Britannica:

  • ✅ Destroy Ottoman Caliphate (last Islamic political unity)
  • ✅ Fragment Muslim world into weak states
  • ✅ Secure Palestine for Zionist project
  • ✅ Control oil resources
  • ✅ Create dependencies ensuring Western dominance
  • ✅ Prepare transfer to Pax Americana
  • Sykes-Picot as instrument: Colonial architecture enabling all above goals.

    The "Managed Chaos" Thesis

    The argument: Century of Middle East instability isn't unintended consequence but designed feature.27

    Pattern claimed:

  • Create artificial states with internal tensions
  • Support minority rulers over majority populations
  • Encourage sectarian conflict
  • Intervene periodically to prevent regional power emergence
  • Sell weapons to all sides
  • Profit from chaos while preventing unity
  • Examples cited:

    • Iraq: Sunni minority ruled Shia majority (Saddam Hussein)
    • Syria: Alawite minority rules Sunni majority (Assad)
    • Lebanon: Delicate sectarian power-sharing (periodic collapse)
    • Bahrain: Sunni monarchy rules Shia majority

    The Greater Israel Connection

    Revisionist Zionist view: Sykes-Picot's Palestine boundaries too small; Greater Israel requires overthrowing Sykes-Picot borders.28

    ISIS/Daesh proclamation (2014): Declared goal to erase Sykes-Picot borders; conspiracy theorists claim ISIS is tool to justify redrawing map.29

    The question: Will Pax Judaica complete what Sykes-Picot began by redrawing Middle East for Greater Israel?

    Long-Term Consequences

    States Created or Shaped by Sykes-Picot

    Modern nations (borders frozen despite artificiality):30

    CountryCreatedPopulation (2026)Stability

    Syria1920 (French Mandate)~22MCivil war 2011-present
    Lebanon1920 (French Mandate)~5MRecurring instability
    Iraq1920 (British Mandate)~42MWars, occupations, instability
    Jordan1921 (British)~11MRelatively stable
    Israel1948 (post-British Mandate)~9MPermanent conflict state
    PalestineUndefined (claimed 1988)~5MOccupied, no sovereignty
    Kuwait1961 (British protectorate)~4.5MStable but contested (Iraq)
    Saudi Arabia1932 (British-backed)~36MStable autocracy

    The Hundred-Year War

    Conflicts rooted in Sykes-Picot (partial list):31

    • Arab-Israeli Wars (1948, 1967, 1973, ongoing)
    • Lebanese Civil War (1975-1990)
    • Iran-Iraq War (1980-1988)
    • Gulf War (1990-1991)
    • Iraq War (2003-2011)
    • Syrian Civil War (2011-present)
    • ISIS/Daesh (2014-2017)
    • Yemen Civil War (2014-present)

    Death toll (estimated cumulative): 5-10 million+32

    Kurdish Statelessness

    The largest nation without a state (30-45 million Kurds):33

    Why? Sykes-Picot divided Kurdistan among:

    • Turkey (15-20M Kurds)
    • Iran (8-10M Kurds)
    • Iraq (5-6M Kurds)
    • Syria (2-3M Kurds)

    Consequence: Century of repression, revolts, and statelessness.33

    Academic Debates

    Was Sykes-Picot the Primary Cause?

    Position 1: Yes, colonial borders caused instability34

    • Artificial states inevitably unstable
    • External powers drew borders serving their interests
    • Ethnic/sectarian divisions weaponized
    • Alternative: Self-determined borders would have been more natural

    Position 2: No, other factors more important35

    • Ottoman Empire already declining with internal divisions
    • Nationalism and sectarianism predated Sykes-Picot
    • Post-colonial governments failed to build inclusive systems
    • Alternative: Even "natural" borders wouldn't have prevented conflict

    Position 3: Overdetermined - multiple causes36

    • Colonial legacy significant but not sole cause
    • Domestic failures compounded colonial structures
    • Global Cold War interventions destabilized region
    • Oil politics created additional tensions

    Mainstream Historian Consensus

    General agreement:37

  • Sykes-Picot created problematic borders
  • Colonial powers prioritized their interests over Arab self-determination
  • Promises to Arabs were cynically broken
  • Century of instability has roots in 1916-1920 decisions
  • But postcolonial agency and choices also shaped outcomes
  • Debate continues on proportionality of blame and viability of alternatives.

    Modern Reactions and Legacy

    Arab Perspectives

    Common narrative:38

    • Symbol of Western betrayal and duplicity
    • Root cause of regional problems
    • Justification for anti-Western sentiment
    • Called for "erasing Sykes-Picot" (various movements)

    ISIS and Sykes-Picot

    ISIS propaganda (2014):39

    • Released video titled "The End of Sykes-Picot"
    • Bulldozed Iraq-Syria border posts
    • Declared Caliphate ignoring colonial borders
    • Claimed to restore Islamic unity

    Conspiracy interpretation: ISIS created by West/Israel to justify intervention and redraw map for Greater Israel.40

    Counter-evidence: ISIS genuinely jihadist; no proof of Western/Israeli control; motivated by ideology, not conspiracy.41

    The Centenary (2016)

    Reflections:42

    • Conferences and scholarship examining legacy
    • Arab intellectuals debated whether to move beyond or continue blaming Sykes-Picot
    • Some argued: 100 years is enough, need to take responsibility
    • Others argued: Colonial structures still enforced by West

    Counterfactuals

    What If Sykes-Picot Never Happened?

    Scenario A: Arab Unity

    • Large Arab state or confederation emerges
    • Democratic or autocratic? (debated)
    • Oil revenues benefit all Arabs
    • Could challenge Israel or prevent its creation
    • Could be powerful actor in 20th century

    Scenario B: Multiple Arab States, But Natural Borders

    • States based on ethnic/sectarian/geographic logic
    • Kurdistan created
    • Levantine confederation
    • Iraq doesn't exist (artificial merger)
    • Less internal conflict, still regional rivalry

    Scenario C: Different Colonial Partition

    • America or Germany dominant instead
    • Different borders but still colonial
    • Problems persist with different specifics

    Scenario D: Continued Ottoman Rule

    • Empire modernizes, joins Allies instead of Central Powers
    • Gradual reform and devolution
    • Federalized Ottoman commonwealth
    • No Israel

    Historical consensus: Impossible to know; all scenarios speculative.43

    Lessons and Contemporary Relevance

    The Danger of Secret Treaties

    Lesson: Secret agreements during wartime create distrust and instability.44

    Modern parallel: Various secret clauses in contemporary agreements suspected but unproven.

    The Persistence of Colonial Borders

    Despite problems, borders mostly frozen:45

    • International system resists border changes (stability preference)
    • Except: Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia, Soviet Union, South Sudan (rare exceptions)
    • Middle East borders survived despite artificiality

    Why?: Changing one border risks cascade; everyone fears losing territory.45

    Ethnic Self-Determination vs. State Sovereignty

    The dilemma:46

    • Self-determination principle (Wilsonian idealism)
    • Versus territorial integrity principle (Westphalian system)
    • Both enshrined in international law
    • Often contradictory

    Kurds as example: Invoke self-determination; Turkey/Iraq/Iran invoke sovereignty.

    Discussion Questions

  • Was Sykes-Picot necessary wartime diplomacy or calculated betrayal?
  • Could the Middle East have unified into stable state(s) without colonial intervention?
  • How much responsibility do European powers bear for modern Middle East conflicts?
  • Should borders be redrawn based on ethnicity/sect, or would that cause more bloodshed?
  • Is the Sykes-Picot framework still structurally enforced by great powers today?
  • Further Reading

    This article examines the Sykes-Picot Agreement within the Pax Judaica framework. While the agreement's existence and consequences are historical fact, interpretations of deliberate fragmentation strategy and conspiracy coordination remain contested.

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    References

    1
    "The Sykes-Picot Agreement" (May 16, 1916). Full text available at Yale Avalon Project. Original in UK National Archives.
    2
    Barr, James. A Line in the Sand: The Anglo-French Struggle for the Middle East, 1914-1948. W.W. Norton, 2012. ISBN: 978-0393070651. Chapters 2-3.
    3
    Map reproduced in Barr (2012) and Fromkin (1989); original in UK National Archives.
    4
    Exposure of secret treaties documented in: Debo, Richard. Revolution and Survival: The Foreign Policy of Soviet Russia. Liverpool University Press, 1979. ISBN: 978-0802022226.
    5
    Arab reaction documented in: Antonius, George. The Arab Awakening: The Story of the Arab National Movement. Lippincott, 1939.
    6
    Ottoman decline: Palmer, Alan. The Decline and Fall of the Ottoman Empire. Faber & Faber, 1992. ISBN: 978-0571168477.
    7
    Oil discoveries: Yergin, Daniel. The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money & Power. Free Press, 1991. ISBN: 978-0671502485. Part II.
    8
    "Triple betrayal" documented across: Fromkin (1989), Barr (2012), Schneer (2010).
    9
    Hussein-McMahon Correspondence (1915-1916). Published in Antonius (1939); UK National Archives.
    10
    Balfour Declaration (November 2, 1917). See separate article and UK National Archives FO 371/3083.
    11
    Fragmentation thesis argued in: Khalidi, Rashid. The Iron Cage: The Story of the Palestinian Struggle for Statehood. Beacon Press, 2006. ISBN: 978-0807003091.
    12
    Artificial borders analysis: Anderson, Ewan and Liam Anderson. An Atlas of Middle Eastern Affairs. Routledge, 2nd ed., 2013. ISBN: 978-0415508988.
    13
    State creation documented in: Rogan, Eugene. The Arabs: A History. Basic Books, 2009. ISBN: 978-0465025046. Part III.
    14
    Century of instability chronicle: Cleveland, William and Martin Bunton. A History of the Modern Middle East. Westview Press, 6th ed., 2016. ISBN: 978-0813349800.
    15
    Mesopotamian oil: Yergin (1991), chapters on Iraq and Anglo-Persian Oil Company.
    16
    Mosul controversy documented in: Sluglett, Peter. Britain in Iraq: Contriving King and Country. Columbia University Press, 2007. ISBN: 978-0231700481.
    17
    BP (British Petroleum) history: Ferrier, R.W. and J.H. Bamberg. The History of the British Petroleum Company. Cambridge University Press, 2 vols., 1982-1994.
    18
    Mark Sykes's Masonic membership: Coil, Henry Wilson. Coil's Masonic Encyclopedia. Macoy Publishing, 1961. Entry on Sykes.
    19
    Historian assessment: Fromkin (1989) and Barr (2012) attribute actions to strategic calculations, not conspiracy.
    20
    Paris Peace Conference (1919): MacMillan, Margaret. Paris 1919: Six Months That Changed the World. Random House, 2002. ISBN: 978-0375760525.
    21
    Wilson's 14 Points (January 1918). Full text at Yale Avalon Project.
    22
    Mandates system: Pedersen, Susan. The Guardians: The League of Nations and the Crisis of Empire. Oxford University Press, 2015. ISBN: 978-0199570485.
    23
    League of Nations mandates confirmed 1920-1923. Official texts at UN Treaty Collection (successor to League).
    24
    Critique of mandates: Said, Edward. Orientalism. Vintage, 1979. ISBN: 978-0394740676. Mandates as colonialism rebranded.
    25
    T.E. Lawrence: Lawrence, T.E. Seven Pillars of Wisdom. 1926. Autobiography of Arab Revolt involvement.
    26
    Faisal and Hussein: Antonius (1939); Fromkin (1989), chapters on Arab leadership.
    27
    "Managed chaos" thesis: Nasr, Vali. The Shia Revival. W.W. Norton, 2006. ISBN: 978-0393329681. Discusses manipulation of sectarian divisions.
    28
    Greater Israel and Sykes-Picot: Shlaim, Avi. The Iron Wall: Israel and the Arab World. W.W. Norton, 2000. ISBN: 978-0393048165. Discusses Revisionist Zionist territorial ambitions.
    29
    ISIS "End of Sykes-Picot" video (June 2014). Available in SITE Intelligence Group archives.
    30
    Modern Middle East states: CIA World Factbook (2026 data). https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/
    https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/
    31
    Conflict list: Uppsala Conflict Data Program. https://ucdp.uu.se/ (Comprehensive conflict database)
    https://ucdp.uu.se/
    32
    Death toll estimates: Cumulative across all conflicts; various sources including UCDP, Iraq Body Count, Syrian Observatory, etc.
    33
    Kurds and statelessness: McDowall, David. A Modern History of the Kurds. I.B. Tauris, 3rd ed., 2004. ISBN: 978-1850434160.
    34
    "Colonial borders caused instability" position: Lustick, Ian. "The Absence of Middle Eastern Great Powers." International Organization 51:4 (1997): 653-683.
    35
    "Other factors more important" position: Hinnebusch, Raymond. "The Middle East Regional System" in The Foreign Policies of Middle East States. Lynne Rienner, 2002. ISBN: 978-1588260833.
    36
    "Overdetermined" position: Dodge, Toby. Inventing Iraq. Columbia University Press, 2003. ISBN: 978-0231131193. Multiple causation thesis.
    37
    Mainstream consensus documented across: Cleveland & Bunton (2016), Rogan (2009), Fromkin (1989).
    38
    Arab perspectives: Ajami, Fouad. The Arab Predicament. Cambridge University Press, 1992. ISBN: 978-0521438339.
    39
    ISIS "End of Sykes-Picot" propaganda: Media releases June 2014, archived by Combating Terrorism Center at West Point.
    40
    ISIS conspiracy theories: Various online sources; addressed in Stern, Jessica and J.M. Berger. ISIS: The State of Terror. Ecco, 2015. ISBN: 978-0062395542.
    41
    ISIS reality: Stern & Berger (2015); Cockburn, Patrick. The Rise of Islamic State. Verso, 2015. ISBN: 978-1784785062. Evidence for genuine jihadist movement.
    42
    Sykes-Picot centenary (2016): Various conferences and publications; e.g., The Economist special issue, May 2016.
    43
    Counterfactuals discussion: Ferguson, Niall, ed. Virtual History: Alternatives and Counterfactuals. Basic Books, 1999. ISBN: 978-0465023233.
    44
    Secret treaties problem: Versailles Treaty aftermath as cautionary tale; discussed in MacMillan (2002).
    45
    Border persistence: Herbst, Jeffrey. "The Creation and Maintenance of National Boundaries in Africa." International Organization 43:4 (1989): 673-692. Parallel phenomenon.
    46
    Self-determination vs. sovereignty: Buchanan, Allen. Justice, Legitimacy, and Self-Determination. Oxford University Press, 2004. ISBN: 978-0199257423.